Lin Alden lowers Bitcoin forecast after ‘tariff kerfuff,’ eye liquidity

Macroeconomist Lin Alden expects Bitcoin to complete 2025 more than its current price of about $ 85,000, although it would be much greater if not for American President Donald Trump’s Tariff Announcement in February.

“Before all these tariffs Kerffule, I’d like a higher price,” Alden told Natalie Brunell in Episode 17. April of the story about coins. “I guess it’s that we finished bigger at the end of the year than we’re now, at least,” she added.

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However, she said that “mass unlocked liquidity” could be the catalyst required for Bitcoin (Btc) To reach more optimistic goals, similar to those before the tariffs are introduced.

For example, if the American bond market “broke up” and American federal reserves to enter with measures such as control curve or severe quantitative easing (KE), Alden explained.

While Alden said that there was a “good chance” Bitcoin before the end of the year, she emphasized that the expanded financial market “Days for the Financial Market” will request Bitcoin trade 24/7, unlike the traditional stock exchange.

“Because it trades 24/7, if people care about how things will open on Monday, some capital pools can sell their Bitcoin on Sunday and prepares,” she said.

Alden explained that Cript’s market trading contributes to “volatile prices”, especially when traditional financial markets “dry out.”

At the time of publishing Bitcoin traded $ 84,950, toward to get the data for coinmarketcap.

However, Alden said Bitcoin can “exclude” from Native 100, especially in situations that “injured Native’s margins” without influence global liquidity. As an example, she pointed out potential repetition of five years, which led to the global financial crisis in 2008. years, which believes that it could be favorable for Bitcoin.

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She pointed to the period 2003-2007, where there was a weaker cycle of the American dollar, and until there was a massive exodus of capital, “emerging market”, “goods, gold and other property – with American stocks” It’s really that place “

“If we find ourselves again on that five-year period, it could be the period in which Bitcoin is doing pretty well, even how the American stock market doesn’t work especially well.”

Alden wrote in September Research report that Bitcoin is moving in the direction of global M2 83% of the time within a certain period of 12 months.

The research called “Bitcoin Global Liquidity Barometer” compared Bitcoin to other main classes such as SPX, gold and VT and BTC at the top of the correlation index in connection with global liquidity.

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