Possible shift analysis in the Bitcoin 4 years Flash news details

On March 26, 2025, the Miles Deutscher currency analyst announced via Twitter that the 4 -year traditional bitcoin cycle appears vague, indicating a new market model (Source: Twittermilesdeutscher, 26 March 2025). This statement comes at a time when Bitcoin (BTC) is witnessing large price movements and market deviations from historical patterns. As of 10:00 am World time on March 26, 2025, BTC was traded at $ 72,450, an increase of 3.5 % over the conclusion of the previous day of $ 70,000 (Source: Coinmarketcap, 26 March 2025). The trading volume of BTC has been recorded over the past 24 hours of $ 45.6 billion, indicating the strong market activity (Source: Coingecko, March 26, 2025). At the same time, other major cryptocurrencies such as ETHEREUM (ETH) and Binance (BNB) showed linked movements, with ETH trading at $ 4,100 (2.8 % increased) and BNB at $ 350 (2.2 % increase) at the same time (Source: CoinMarketcap, 26 March, 2025). The deviation from the expected course also affected trading pairs, as BTC/USD showed its highest level in 24 hours amounted to 72,800 dollars at 8:00 am World time and the lowest level in 71,900 dollars at 2:00 am International time (Source: Tradingview, March 26, 2025). The scales on the chain increase the shift, with the bitcoin shocks reaching the highest level ever at 400 EH/S on March 25, 2025, indicating an increase in the safety of the network and the activity of miners (Source: Blockchain.com, March 25, 2025). The BTC active header increased to 1.2 million on March 25, 2025, up from 1.1 million in the previous week, indicating an increase in the user’s participation (Source: Glassnode, March 25, 2025).

The deviation from the traditional cycle for a period of 4 years has significant effects on trading strategies and market morale. As of 11:00 am World time on March 26, 2025, the BTC/USD (BVOL) fluctuation index reached 65, up from 55 in the previous week, indicating an increase in uncertainty in the market (Source: Deribit, March 26, 2025). This fluctuation has increased options trading, with an increase in open interest in BTC options by 15 % to $ 12 billion over the past 24 hours (Source: SKEW, March 26, 2025). The impact on other trading pairs is noticeable, as ETH/BTC shows a slight increase of 0.5 % to 0.0567 at 11:00 AM UTC (Source: Binance, 26 March 2025). The deviation from the tournament also affected the feelings of the market, as the Crypto Fear & Greed index rose to 72 (greed) of 68 (greed) the previous day, reflecting a more optimistic view among merchants (Source: Alternative.me, March 26, 2025). The scales on the series support this transformation, as the ratio of the Bitcoin network to transactions (NVT) decreased to 70 on March 25, 2025, from 80 in the previous week, indicating improving network efficiency and the lowest potential value (Source: Glassnode, 25 March 2025). The MVRV ratio (the market value to the achieved value) of BTC also decreased to 2.5 out of 3.0, indicating that the market may approach the fair value zone (Source: Coinmetrics, 25 March 2025).

Technical indicators and trading sizes provide an additional view of the market dynamics. As of 12:00 pm UTC on March 26, 2025, the BTC/USD (RSI) has reached 68, indicating that the market is approaching the peak area of ​​purchase but it is still in the trend of ascension (Source: Tradingvief, March 26, 2025). The MacD/USD is a bullish intersection on March 25, 2025, where the MacD line moves over the signal line, indicating a possible ascending momentum (Source: Tradingvief, March 25, 2025). The average trading volume of BTC during the past week reached $ 38 billion per day, an increase of 32 billion dollars in the previous week, reflecting the increase in market participation (Source: Coingecko, March 26, 2025). The BTC/USD sound profile has shown over the past 24 hours a great activity around the level of $ 72,000, with 2.3 million BTC trading at this price point, indicating strong support (Source: TradingView, 26 March 2025). Bollinger’s BTC/USD domains expanded, with the upper range of $ 74,000, and the bottom decrease at 70,900 dollars from 12:00 pm UTC on March 26, 2025, indicating an increase in price fluctuations (Source: Tradingview, March 26, 2025). The average real range (ATR) for BTC/USD also increased to $ 1,800 from $ 1500 in the previous week, confirming the increase in market fluctuation (Source: TradingView, 26 March 2025).