News and analysis on encrypted currencies, Blockchain and decentralized financing

After the recent opening of Donald Trump, the cryptocurrency community is betting on Bitcoin’s approval as a national reserve in the United States.

This hypothesis, which was already discussed several times by Trump himself during the election campaign, is increasingly feeding by the American media, which talks about its imminent implementation.

However, according to Polymarket investors, the law is unlikely to be approved in the United States of America to allow bitcoin to be used as the origin of the Treasury, at least until April 2025. By the end of the year, possibilities change significantly.

Let’s see everything in detail below.

Polymarket: Donald Trump is unlikely to agree to the Bitcoin Reserve in the first 100 days

Nowadays in the world of encryption, there is nothing but talking about Donald Trump and the possibility of the United States to start adopting a Bitcoin strategic reserve.

During it The election campaignTrump has swore that he would establish encrypted currency reserves in the treasury, in order to combat the country’s high Public debt.

Now, given that the new president has maintained most of his obligations, this promise is expected to become a reality.

The American media contributes to increasing this hope, addressing the Bitcoin topic frequently and its potential effects as a file A shield for the American economy.

Even members Trump administrationLike David Sacks, confirmed the idea of ​​a potentially resistant national reserve in Bitcoin.

The latter talked about it a few days ago in Interview on Fox NewsCreate the noise between the Bitcoiners audience.

Despite the atmosphere of confidence surrounding this possible event, polymers show a completely different position on the perceived event.

At the present time there is only a file 16 % is an opportunity for Donald Trump to establish the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve (BTC) during the first 100 days of his administration.

This means that a law is unlikely to be signed to allow US Treasury Bitcoin holds its public budget and start the accumulation phase by April 29.

It is very curious to note how until January 19, a day before Trump entered the White House, the possibilities of polymers were 48 %.

As of January 20, onwards, investors seem to have changed their opinion, with a decrease in the success of the event.

These dynamics are likely to be because of the fact that Trump was also not mentioned.Encryption“Or”BitcoinDuring his opening speech as president.

Polymarket indicates a higher possibility of success at the end of the year

By expanding the horizons, we can notice how Polymarket estimates to create a strategic bitcoin reserve in the United States of America significantly.

In fact, in the first 100 days of management (by April 29), it seems unlikely that Trump can give the green light to such an event, but by the end of the year, the possibilities increase significantly.

More specifically, and Marah From polymarket giving a 53 % is an opportunity to agree to a similar invoice in the United States of America by 2025.

So it seems that the idea of ​​a bitcoin reserve is likely to be officially adopted between May and December, not before.

Here, as in the previous bet, the possibilities were higher before Trump’s inauguration, but then fell with a few points.

On the contrary, in this case success chances are much higher compared to those at the beginning of the year, when the possibility of a bitcoin reserve is 42 %.

It is also interesting note how on Bets rose on January 23 to 73 %after Executive order It was signed by the president, who enhances the progress of the coding sector in the country.

In particular, Trump had created the body.Presidential Working Group in digital assets markets“With the aim of uniting the position of the United States as a global pioneer in encrypted currencies.

However, this political step only raised the quotes on Polymarkket, as there was no specific mention of Bitcoin.

In the form of an indication, the next chart tends to rise when Trump talks about Bitcoin or indicates the idea of ​​the national reserve in Crypto.

In the coming months, we will see how the situation will develop regarding the president’s position on this issue.

What will the introduction of the American Bitcoin reserve?

A strategic introduction to Bitcoin can have very positive effects, not only for the US economy, but also for the entire encryption world.

Everything depends mainly Any specific bill that will be approvedShould the idea to check in the room.

The most interesting proposal is definitely the proposal proposed by the Republican Senator from Wyoming Sinatia LomesIt is known for its favorable position on Bitcoin.

In particular, Lomes had suggested creating a strategic reserve, with a commitment to create a “Bitcoin purchase program From 200,000 BTC per year for five years.

This means that the United States, which is partially funded by gold, must buy a total of one million BTC, equivalent to more than $ 105 billion.

This proposal, which is currently being reviewed by the Banking, Housing and Urban Services Committee, can significantly reduce the American public debt, in the event that Bitcoin continues the eternal bull.

Michel Silor From Microstrategy, this idea is widely supports, to the extent that it is believed that it can provide the US dollar to reduce the value of the currency. These are his words on this topic:

“The best way to protect the dollar is to ensure debt payment and become rich.”

There are also other proposals similar to Lummis proposals, which are a national bachelors reserve, but without a pre -defined purchase program.

in PennsylvaniaFor example, actor Mike Capel asked to allocate up to 10 % of the state’s funds in Bitcoin To combat inflation.

in ArizonaThe “Arizona Strategic Bitcoin Reserve 24” bill is discussed, which has already been adopted by Senate Finance Committee, which reflects the features of Pennsylvania.

In Texas, on the other hand, “Bitcoin strategic law“ It is being considered, which aims to create a special reserve outside the state’s general budget. This would allow Texas to manage bitcoin as a strategic financial origin.

Currently, Polymarket is estimated that Bitcoin as a reserve can be adopted by 2025 with a possibility of 55 %.