Bitcoin (BTC) predicting and analyzing prices: Will “Liberation Day” be in the encryption markets?

TLDR:

• Bitcoin is trading about $ 85,000, while the markets are waiting for “Tahrir Day”, Trump
• The short-term momentum can break in both cases with 50-50 division in trading morale
• 9.41 billion dollars in short risk liquidation if Bitcoin reaches 90,000 dollars
• The last Bitcoin’s weakness began before the tariff ads, contrary to the common belief
• Long -term outlook is still positive despite the current uncertainty

Bitcoin is hovering near 85,000 dollars, as financial markets are eagerly awaiting the “Tahrir Day” tariff for President Donald Trump, scheduled to be launched on April 3 and fourth. The cryptocurrency has been traded in a narrow range, indicating gains of about 2.6 % over the past 24 hours, according to modern data.

The uncertainty surrounding this bitcoin tariff and other risk assets remain in oblivion. Nick Pokrin, encryption analyst and founder of the currency office, It is noted that Bitcoin has recently closed the CME gap This was opened during the weekend about $ 83,000 to $ 84,000.

Bitcoin is currently trading without average 200 days. At the same time, the 24 -hour references remain low at less than 250 million dollars, indicating that the momentum of landing may continue in the short term.

“Until there is more clarity about the definitions, this veiled style will continue to,” Bokerin explained. He believes that if the tariff news is softer than expected, we may see an outbreak of the current trading style.

In the event of an outbreak, Puckrin expects that $ 88,000 will be the short -term price level to see. However, it warns that increasing the trading volume will be necessary to extend any gathering.

Open people exposed to danger

One of the main factors in the current price of Bitcoin is a huge amount of short situations that may face the filter. Market data indicates that short sites worth 9.41 billion dollars can be eliminated if Bitcoin reaches $ 90,000.

There is a great accumulation of short situations ranging from $ 80,000 and 90,000 dollars that create a possibility for short pressure if Bitcoin continues its upward momentum. This may lead to high prices, as merchants who bet on Bitcoin will have to cover their losses.

Just one week ago, Bitcoin extended to $ 87,000 erasing $ 77 million in short positions. 90,000 dollars now represents a psychological barrier and a possible operating point for a much larger liquidation event.

If Bitcoin reaches this level, the forced repurchase operations resulting from the open sellers can accelerate the bitcoin price momentum further.

Factors that exceed the definitions

While many traders blame the US -led tariff war for poor prices in Bitcoin, many other factors have weighed the morale of investors since the announcement of the tariff.

Bitcoin had already shown a limited bullish before President Trump announced the 10 % Chinese import tariff on January 21. The cryptocurrency has repeatedly failed to break more than $ 100,000 in the previous months.

Institutional demand for bitcoin remained strong even with the escalation of commercial tensions. Spot Bitcoin Etfs witnessed $ 2.75 billion in net flows during the three weeks that followed the announcement of the initial tariff.

Part of the disappointment of merchants stems from excessive expectations about the promise of Trump’s campaign to “stored the strategic national bitcoin”, which created unrealistic expectations in the market.

Another factor is the current inflation direction. With inflation relatively in early in early 2025, low interest rates may lead to directly fossil real estate and stock markets than Bitcoin.

The weak labor market also reduced the demand for assets, such as Bitcoin. In February, the United States’ Ministry of Labor informed job opportunities near the lowest level of four years, indicating an increase in risk hatred among investors.

The price view is still mixed

In the short term, the Bitcoin price trend can go in both cases. Puckrin notes that the long short Bitcoin ratio is currently close to 50 to 50, which shows the uncertainty in the current market background.

The shock of the customs tariff may lead to the collapse of Bitcoin near $ 79,000 in the short term, or it is likely to be less to the next support level at $ 73,000 if the extreme fear controls the market.

In the most positive news, the low trading volume in the past few weeks and the Crypto Fear & Greed index can indicate that the market is in or very close to the lowest level.

James Butterfill, head of research at Coinshares, believes that although customs tariffs will be negative at first for Bitcoin, the long -term image is more positive.

“At some point, the market will realize that the United States cannot continue to raise interest rates while the economy weakens,” buttefill wrote. “When this happens, Bitcoin is likely to refresh, while stocks continue to struggle.”