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Will Bitcoin price be disrupted again? – Tradingvief news

Bitcoin (BTC) recovered by 14.60 % after decreasing to less than 75,000 dollars for the first time in five months in April. However, its failure to break the level of resistance of $ 85,000 has raised fears that continuous recovery may wear bulls.

Rally’s Gold may risk Bitcoin’s disruption less than $ 50,000

Bitcoin can continue to be weak as the World War intensified by Donald Trump pushes investors towards safer assets such as gold, according to Mike McGlon, a strategy expert in Bloomberg.

MCGLONE argues that risk origins show signs of returning to long -term means, especially their 200 -week moving averages, which were historically as a critical floor during major price corrections.

As of April 20, the average moving movement for 200 weeks was about 46,300 dollars, a decrease of about 45 % compared to the current price levels by about 85,000 dollars.

Meanwhile, gold rose to a record level of $ 3,115 an ounce in April, an increase of more than 19 % on an annual basis. The precious metal continues to attract capital amid high geopolitical tensions, recession concerns, and inflation risk that depends on customs tariffs.

According to McGlone, this rotation is in solid origins such as gold and upper external plays such as Crypto reflects a classic journey to safety.

The difference between gold and bitcoin is clear in institutional investment trends.

For example, the ETFS backed by precious metal witnessed consistent flows in 2025, attracting more than 27.10 billion dollars, according to the Data Resource World Gold Council.

On the contrary, the Bitcoin $ 12.38 billion investment funds have seen external flows, according to Data Resource Glassnode.

However, not all analysts see Rally Gold. Veteran Petter Brandt referred to a possible “explosion” of gold, warning that these rapid gains usually end in sharp repercussions, although the timing of the peak is still risky.

Some believe that if the Gold momentum fades, Bitcoin may continue to operate the bull, which provides its history in the delay in the precious metal gathering several months.

Bitcoin’s unveiled losses indicate the risks of the early bear market

Glassnode data reveals an increasing difference between Bitcoin holders in the short and long -term term, hinting at the conditions of the bear market in the potential early stage, albeit a certain accident.

It is worth noting that short-term holders-those who have acquired bitcoin over the past few months-face great inconsistent losses in relation to the current clouds.

This level of loss, which was normalized by a cloud rate, is similar to the early stages of previous bear markets, including late 2018 and early 2022.

On the contrary, LTHS (LTHS) holders-those that are holding Bitcoin for more than 155 days-wearing a widespread profit.

However, data indicates an increased risk: since the best buyers of BTC from the last highland era to LTH mode, unreasonable losses can turn into a long -term regiment. Historically, most of the shifts in the absorption of loss preceded the bear market systems.

Therefore, the risks lie in whether the LTH profit can carry the market weakness for a long time – or if surrender is set as it did during the previous declines.

Currently, there may be a justification for caution, but this data has not yet confirmed an explicit failure.

Bitcoin is still on the bull market, as Planb confirms

Some analysts see the current decrease as a standard correction within the wider bull direction. Among them is a Planb pseudonym, who argues that Bitcoin is still structurally optimistic.

According to Planb models from stocks to flow (S2F) and medium mobile models for 200 weeks, the stages of current price unification of Bitcoin appear before the main gatherings.

In particular, previous sessions show that when a simple simple moving average is converging for 200 weeks (black line) with a 200 week engineering average (gray line), Bitcoin tends to increase shortly after. This rapprochement occurs again in April.

Plaanb also highlights the red point stage-which represents half half a period of 6 months to the afternoon window for 18 months-as it is historically bullish. Bitcoin is now seven months away from this period, which has continued to conduct explosive prices in previous sessions.

“The indicators on the chain still indicate the emerging market,” Planb indicated that the recent decline is likely to prepare for the following leg above $ 100,000 from the collapse of the bear market.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each step includes investment and risk trading, and readers must conduct their own research when making a decision.

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