Bitcoin and Global M2 Money Supply: Displaced connection?

The financial analyst has publicly criticized the use of global M2 cash data to predict the Bitcoin price movements (BTC), describing such improper and misleading analyzes.

Criticism comes amid an increase in the global M2 Money show to the highest level ever. Many analysts expect similar trends for BTC.

Is M2 global money data reliable in bitcoin price movements?

The analyst, known as TXMCTRADES, shared his ideas about X (previously Twitter). He specifically pointed to a plan by macro investor, Raul Pal, who compared Bitcoin price to Global M2.

TXMCTRADES argued that the world’s drawing M2 daily or weekly, mainly defective Because of the inconsistent updates of the basic data. According to him, doing so distort information by amplifying short -term fluctuations instead of providing a long and long -term direction.

“People, you cannot create a daily or weekly series of” Global M2 “when the United States modernizes M2 only on a weekly basis and all others per month!” the mail Read.

He explained that many countries did not update their numbers after February, which creates large gaps in the data group. TXMCTRADES claimed that this contradiction is a large scale It reflects foreign currency fluctuations (FX) Instead of the dynamics of the actual cash.

“You look at the dollar exchange rate for the dollar M2 95 % of the time. Be better in mathematics!” He added.

It also highlighted Fears of global m2 misuse. The analyst confirmed this China, which constitutes 46 % of the global M2It is the only main economy that has a large -scale width above its peak after the peak in dollars.

“They are currently trying to alleviate the continuous debt shrinkage and do a great job of it. They extend their M2 straight,” this is what TXMCTRADES commented.

Meanwhile, M2 USA is still less than the peak 2022. In addition, the analyst has confirmed that it has been growing in the slowest pace since the beginning of Bitcoin, with the exception of the 2022-2024 period. This indicates that the United States does not face rapid growth in the width of the money, which can The effect of inflation or other economic trends.

This contrast, says TXMCTRADES, undermines the global M2 reliability as an indicator of bitcoin price movements. The analyst also disagreed with the use of “random displacement” to align Global M2 with bitcoin price movements, a method used by many analysts.

For example, Raoul Pal suggested a 12 -week late between Global M2 and Bitcoin price. Meanwhile, Collen Specific Speaking Suggest 15.4 weeks delay. At the same time, Mr. Wall Street It is estimated that you will be delayed between 10.7 and 15 weeks. Some have expanded M2’s connection To predict Altcoin priceslike Solana (Sol).

“Teller He was following the M2 Global M2 (+100 days) his last legs. If this continues, Sol is assigned to pump it significantly over the next two weeks. to publish.

However, the analyst stated that compensation is often arbitrary and does not reflect the actual dynamics of cash display or asset prices.

“Money is money, and he has no waiting time,” he said.

The analyst suggested that such models are equipped with modern historical data and lacking a strong forecast. Finally, he called TXMCTRADES More accuracy in financial analysis. The analysts urged “to stop the defection of the deception analysis” and the adoption of more sound methods in terms of sports to understand the dynamics of encrypted currency prices.