7 reasons why 2025 may redefine cryptocurrencies
Crypto winter? more. Fallen empires and court dramas? In the rearview. Survivors? Battle tested and looking to the horizon as if it were the next gold rush.
After years of clashes with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds have arrived. As of December 16, US Bitcoin ETFs had $129 billion in assets, surpassing the $125 billion of gold ETFs. According to Norway-based K33 Research.
The post-election combination of market euphoria and Donald Trump’s promises to make the United States the “cryptocurrency capital of the world” and create a strategic reserve of bitcoin has sent the price of bitcoin past $100,000.
Solana is going through a tough moment, fueled by the memcoin hype and new categories like dePINs — networks that leverage blockchain technology to decentralize control and ownership of physical infrastructure. Platforms such as Polymarket, where users bet on the results of the US presidential election, and the Battle Royale game Off The Grid, have found mainstream success. There is a new wave of diggins betting on tokens like Fartcoin and dogwifhat, both of which now have a market capitalization of over $1 billion.
“It’s the year that cryptocurrencies moved into the mainstream consciousness in a way that hasn’t happened since 2021, and that it’s now a long-term sustainable asset class that will have a voice and matter,” Rob says. Hadick, general partner at Dragonfly, a San Francisco-based cryptocurrency venture capital firm. “If you look at the impact of cryptocurrencies on elections — whether as donors or in terms of being introduced in legislatures or to presidential candidates — this has never been done before and is clearly a big step forward in legalization.”
As Trump and a host of crypto-minded officials prepare to take office, the stage is set for what insiders are already calling the “golden age of crypto.” Here’s what’s brewing:
All-time highs and US Bitcoin reserves
The art of bold price forecasting has returned to the fore. Crypto asset manager Bitwise expects $200,000 – or even $500,000 – per bitcoin. If the United States creates a strategic reserve similar to that of oil or gold. The logic: An official Bitcoin stock in the US would lead to global FOMO.
Trump brought up the use of 200,000 bitcoins confiscated from criminals ($21 billion worth) to stimulate the reserve at a Nashville Bitcoin conference in July. But the legal path is ambiguous. Does it require congressional approval, or can the executive branch act unilaterally? Cynthia Lummis, a pro-crypto senator, proposed a Treasury-managed reserve in July. Skeptics say asset volatility can undermine financial stability. Trump’s silence on whether the United States will acquire more bitcoin through open market purchases adds another layer of intrigue.
Cryptocurrency Regulatory Reset: Friendly Washington
The incoming administration is shaping up to be the most pro-crypto administration yet. Key appointments include:
- US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC): Paul Atkins, the former SEC commissioner and cryptocurrency proponent, is poised to replace the industry’s arch-enemy Gary Gensler, whose tenure has been defined by lawsuits and crackdowns.
- Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC): Brian Quintens, head of policy at Andreessen Horowitz and former CFTC commissioner, is the front-runner to lead the agency.
- Treasury: Hedge fund billionaire and Bitcoin advocate Scott Besent is Trump’s pick for secretary.
- commerce: Howard Lutnick, CEO of Cantor Fitzgerald (the primary custodian of Tether’s USDT reserves), is set to lead the division.
- Artificial intelligence and cryptography: David Sachs, a longtime venture capitalist who also worked with Elon Musk at PayPal, will oversee policy in two key areas of Trump’s strategy to boost national competitiveness.
- House Financial Services Committee: Rep. French Hill, an Arkansas Republican who worked alongside outgoing Chairman Patrick McHenry (R.N.C.) to support industry-friendly cryptocurrency legislation, plans to prioritize the cryptocurrency market structure bill during its first 100 days and investigate the so-called throttling operation. Point 2.0, which many believe has unfairly targeted the cryptocurrency sector with its de-banking practices.
“There is a real opportunity to create good policy for this industry,” says Christine Smith, CEO of the Washington, D.C.-based Blockchain Association, which represents more than 100 cryptocurrency companies. The White House has indicated this is a priority. “I think we will see a combination of cross-government efforts, a legislative push on market structure and stablecoins, and a big shift towards a lot of innovation coming back to the US,” she adds.
New public listings and available capital
The pipeline of cryptocurrency IPOs is heating up. Bitwise names five companies likely to go public next year:
- circle: The issuer of the second-largest stablecoin, USDC, filed secretly for an IPO in January.
- appearance: Known for its blockchain-based financial services such as mortgage lending, personal loans, and asset tokenization, the company has reportedly been exploring a public listing since last year.
- Kraken: The US-based cryptocurrency exchange has IPO ambitions dating back to 2021.
- digital anchor: Its status as a federally chartered bank could pave the way
- String analysis: A leading blockchain compliance and intelligence services company, ready to list.
Additionally, Dragonfly’s Haddick says: “I expect the LP market will improve — they’ll want to invest more capital in crypto — and a lot of traditional cross-2 web funds will come back into the space. We’re already starting to see it in certain pockets like stablecoins and payments.” He adds that venture capital dealmaking tends to lag price increases in the general market by a quarter or two.
Main index inclusions
MicroStrategy stock is up more than 400% this year. Now part of the Nasdaq 100 index, analysts expect S&P 500 inclusion to be the next step thanks to new accounting rules that will allow it to reflect its Bitcoin investments at market value in its financial statements. This change could bring MicroStrategy into index-tracking funds, and thus into the portfolios of countless U.S. investors. Co-founder and CEO Michael Saylor’s “Bitcoin Treasure” play — selling bonds and stocks to hoard assets — has propelled his $86 billion company into the top 100 of the S&P 500. Coinbase, which is up 70%, may join This year, to the desired indicator, according to analysts.
Stablecoin Rise
The stablecoin sector is poised for explosive growth, potentially doubling to a market cap of $400 billion as the United States approaches long-awaited stablecoin legislation. In 2024, stablecoin transaction volume will reach $8.3 trillion, roughly equivalent to Visa payments of $9.9 trillion, according to Bitwise.
Tether and Circle are still king, riding the wave of rising interest rates. However, if they continue to act more like asset managers than payment companies, their growth may soon halt. to caution That’s it.
Stripe’s $1.1 billion acquisition of stablecoin platform Bridge in October sent a message that stablecoins could become a cornerstone of fintech. Stripe hails them as “super connectors for financial services,” touting their unparalleled speed, low cost, and global reach. Robinhood is not far from ambitions for a global stablecoin network.
Meanwhile, next-generation “stablecoin 2.0” models are quietly gaining traction. “There are a bunch of new stablecoin models that bring revenue to token holders, or indeed applications that house users,” explains Setiris, head of research at New York-based cryptocurrency analytics firm Delphi Digital. “I used to see those annoying people.”
Accelerated coding
Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, has been promoting the token for years. From real estate to art, everything could soon have a token. Major benefits: instant settlement, lower costs compared to traditional securitization operations, round-the-clock liquidity and transparency.
Three years ago, the cryptocurrency sector had tokenized just $2 billion in real assets (RWAs), including private credit, US debt, commodities and stocks. Today, this number is close to $14 billion. Venture capital firm ParaFi predicts that the RWA token market could rise to $2 trillion by 2030, heralding a major shift in asset ownership and trading.
New applications, better infrastructure
This month’s buzzword: AI agents. Get ready to watch artificial intelligence and cryptocurrencies merge in ways that seem akin to science fiction.
The first shoots of this trend are already beginning to appear. Look at TruthTerminal — an AI agent Not only did he get $50,000 from Marc Andreessen, he also became a millionaire By leveraging social media on .
But analysts are worried. Practical AI agents — for example, those that attempt to carry out complex transactions across blockchains on behalf of users — are rare and early. “Agents are exciting because they’re so new, but they’re probably the biggest bubble of this cycle, for good and bad,” says Delphi’s Ceteris.
While the blockchain industry is still fragmented and most decentralized applications have not yet become mainstream, work on a robust infrastructure continues. “Solana set the trend for the era of the high-throughput chain (the coded language for blockchain capable of processing thousands of transactions per second similar to Visa and MasterCard), and you see almost every new chain launch under that kind of umbrella, so there will be a lot of space,” Ceteris explains. “Cheap.”
Thus, the story of cryptocurrencies flipped from survival to euphoria. This is just a glimpse of what next year could hold. Your choice: Grab your popcorn for the show, or your wallet for the opportunity. Caution is necessary. The market will drift through inevitable highs and lows. And this time, the stakes appear to be higher than ever.
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